Sean t rcp twitter.
Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende The losses this term were really aggressive asks on the VRA and ISL. and even there Kav and Roberts left a trail of crumbs on how to get to the desired outcome next time.
At 266 electoral votes, Donald Trump stood just one state short of winning the presidency. And with the final RCP Poll Averages in a handful of battleground states showing Trump trailing by just 0 ...“The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”Things will change, and the voters will get another say in two years. Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and ...Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. It described it as being 100% in, but in fact, those precincts are partially reporting. There are eight counties still at ...Jun 29, 2022 · “On hearsay: First, it doesn't matter for right now, because this isn't a trial. At the same time, the hearsay rule isn't just some legal mumbo-jumbo, it's rooted in the common sense notion that you're more skeptical of evidence offered second- or third-hand. But first:”
Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende. ... Still early, but she's running ahead of Obama in 7 of the 8 IN counties reporting. 11:50 PM · Nov 8, 2016 · Twitter Web Client. 225.
Advertising on Twitter can be a great way to reach a large audience of potential customers. With so many engaged users, Twitter provides businesses with the opportunity to target their desired audiences and share their message in an effecti...“Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presidents until we're 80 years old like the Silents. No respect.”
“@micahcohen @DouthatNYT In a broader sense, these things tend to be known and are frequently debated among political scientists; but too often when they get pushed into the general debate those assumptions and debates fall by the wayside. See also the "authoritarianism" and "racial resentment" indices.”“So I don't know. Ideology certainly matters less than the 4th grade civics version, where candidates give speeches and voters decide who they agree with the most on the issues. I just think some of the current crop of Dem candidates are problematic for Democrats in unique ways.”“I mean, Cameron County 50-50 with half the vote counted? Obama beat Romney here by 30 points. He won Willacy County by 40 (which is also tied right now). I mean later votes will probably shift things but the fact that this is even close in a congressional race . . .”Log in. Sign up Jordan's supporters have made some GOP lawmakers more entrenched in their opposition to his bid for the speaker's gavel. "They're harassing our spouses," says Rep. Don Bacon.
“The truth is, I think the Biden will have a better chance at re-election than the environment (whatever it is in 2024) will suggest, because Trump will make the election about him rather the environment. Should Trump lose the primary, he'll go nuclear on the GOP nominee.”
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Replying to @apearlma@SeanTrende. My understanding has been that the public health officials want people to mask because they're worried about this sort of transmission. My basic sense is that this is headed toward vaccinated people not needing to mask. But we need to know definitively about whether they can.“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”“@rem110892 My pt is better to learn the lesson now than later in life when the consequences really are more severe (obvs not the death penalty lol). For this, a clear statement from the league and a "two strikes and you're out for the season" rule would suffice for me, others want more.”“My take: You can make a case for Phantom Menace largely because, as Machete Order proves, you can pretty much watch the entire series without it and not miss anything. But it isn't a horrible movie, though I'm the weirdo who sort of liked the Palpatine political machinations.”“But Kaine and Warner are pretty young, so his political career is already done. His private sector prospects are . . . limited right now. This probably isn't an impeachable offense. 100% apart from doing the right thing, why do we think he leaves? 2/2”
Sean T at RCP on Twitter: "So my Voting & Participation class drew an Ohio map without ever turning on the political map, and came up with this. It isn't 100% …“@varadmehta Probably more of the latter. The D is a touch behind Biden's vote share. The independent that got ~3% is a former GOP statewide officeholder turned libertarian turned independent.”“If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of policy the GOP will at least nominally pursue. 3/”It's pretty amazing that we have a grand total of 3 decent, non interest-group sponsored polls of Fetterman-Oz. 08 Aug 202208 Sep 2022 18:37:23Log in. Sign up
Log in. Sign up“My take: You can make a case for Phantom Menace largely because, as Machete Order proves, you can pretty much watch the entire series without it and not miss anything. But it isn't a horrible movie, though I'm the weirdo who sort of liked the Palpatine political machinations.”
On the fringes, Johnson seems to have weathered the storm in WI, and is probably headed for a third term, although a systemic poll error against Rs could create a ... In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersHillary's thoughts on the election results: "It turns out women enjoy having human rights, and we vote." twitter. 154. 1. r/hillaryclinton. Join. • 21 days ago. Hillary Clinton on Nancy Pelosi stepping down: "The best to ever do it. Thank you, Madam Speaker."“@varadmehta Probably more of the latter. The D is a touch behind Biden's vote share. The independent that got ~3% is a former GOP statewide officeholder turned libertarian turned independent.”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersOct 30, 2018 · In this conversation. Verified account “I mean, Cameron County 50-50 with half the vote counted? Obama beat Romney here by 30 points. He won Willacy County by 40 (which is also tied right now). I mean later votes will probably shift things but the fact that this is even close in a congressional race . . .”Mar 1, 2016 · Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. “I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.”Jordan's supporters have made some GOP lawmakers more entrenched in their opposition to his bid for the speaker's gavel. "They're harassing our spouses," says Rep. Don Bacon.
“.@FiveThirtyEight nowcast up to 32.2% Trump. So we're at Russian Roulette with bullets in two cylinders.”
Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.
16 May 2023 ... Letters have been granted on the. Estate of each of the following decedents to the representatives named, who request all persons.“@ThePlumLineGS @billscher So I'm pretty comfortable saying they'd have gotten something through absent the strictures of reconciliation. And remember, with regular order you don't have to go all-or-nothing. You can do a *ton* through appropriations riders, which give nervous members cover.”“@Graniteprof @dandrezner @ErinBurnettCNN People aren't marching on the capitol building, so maybe "backlash" is too strong in our current climate, but yeah.”“@BenjySarlin This is one of the key reasons we have such wide bands on our "tossup" category for now. No one really knows how to model this thing.”“Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/”“@KevinMKruse It's possible, but he'd have to be pretty sure the leak would flip a vote, or think that it would blunt the impact of the decision in June by spreading out the news cycle (the latter is more plausible imo).”Just astonishing. https://t.co/O0qszz9IqG" / Twitter. Sean T at RCP is a free elf. @SeanTrende. This is sort of how I felt seeing some of the shifts in Appalachia in 2010, or blue collar areas in 2016.“I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.”
“@Vermeullarmine Favorable in 2020, very favorable in 2022. But they are likely to only have one good cycle, because either Trump wins in 2020, or 2022 is a midterm with a Dem POTUS. If GOP gets up to 54, pretty good job of holding through 2024.”Sean Hannity frequently interviews politicians, candidates, pundits and controversial figures. Specific guests who appear frequently on his show include Senator John McCain, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani and former Massachuset...Sean T at RCP @SeanTrende · Nov 3, 2021 Replying to @SeanTrende suggesting that Trump's '20 gains among Hispanic are potentially sticking. Swings from 2020 are in working class townships, suggesting continued movement for voters there. If there's a silver lining for Ds, its that the wealthier townships in the northwest didn't move as much.“Mason has been singing the same song over and over again for the past 20m in his little 8 y/o boy voice and one nice thing about having three is that I recognize that voice (and maybe the singing) will be gone in the blink of an eye. So when he stops, I ask him to sing it again.”Instagram:https://instagram. teaching students with high incidence disabilitiesskagit 911 driving schoolcraigslist concordia ksusps.jobs near me In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersArticles by Sean Trende on Muck Rack. Find Sean Trende's email address, contact information, LinkedIn, Twitter, other social media and more. For PR Pros. . Overview. … ralph elliscreate ea account ps5 Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende The losses this term were really aggressive asks on the VRA and ISL. and even there Kav and Roberts left a trail of crumbs on how to get to the desired outcome next time.May 31, 2022 · “We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.” montreal real estate zillow Theresa M. Caridi; Cynthia De la Garza-Ramos; Olga R. Brook; Lee A. Learman; Jessica Opoku-Anane; Debbie Phipps; and others. Cited in Scopus: 2.Aug 3, 2022 · “This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.”